Soft Sensors : Concept to Chaos

Primordeal Conceptual Soup

I wanted to explore a different kind of Homeostasis or equilibrium as one of Theory of Belief system. Where a Belief System is made up out of elements (I can’t elaborate upon the particular research, I have looked for it several times since finding it and reflecting). As the elements become Assumptions (with inferred probability or Certainty Factors) the old theory begins to break down.

The Theory/paradigm has connectivity to forms of reasoning. I wanted to consider the diagram of Deductive and Inductive reasoning below and the imbalances caused from one form of reasoning to the other. Usually, I personally would have considered just one form of reasoning occurring for a given problem, and generally deductive. I’m just not in a position to contemplate anything inductively because I am generally the recipient of a theory or the information based upon a theory/belief/framework, whatever the case maybe.

I think there is more to this diagram than I have usually considered; as a population for instance. Where the espoused Theory is providing Observable errors. Or where an institution is the encapsulation of a Theory (Theory in Use vs Espoused Theory). Or where a body of experts operate from within an expiring Theoretical frame.

Daniel Miessler
The Difference Between Deductive and Inductive Reasoning

I’d really like to steal out large bodies of quotes from the diagram origins, but it should probably be referred to from the link. I don’t know what copyrights exist here and its a good article, well thought out, and worth the read.

Its seems more like a microcosm of an Asymmetric World. Sophism vis-a-vis Scepticism again; that broken theory moment. I think that it should be pointed out that Scepticism has equivalence to Inductive Reasoning and that while Deductive reasoning is relatively easy, I have often wondered how Inductive Reasoning works. Mainly because its the Information and Subjective position of Uncertainty – where reality is a bit slippery and Theories are constantly being forced by those most interested in maintaining the current operating machinery.

The most notable aspects seem to be: Warm Data, Triadic Relations, Semiotics, Qualitative perspectives/case studies, and Nemetics. At least, this is what immediately springs to mind.

Equally as relevant would be a pointer to Kuhn’s Paradigm shift I think, where the diagram (Stock-Flow) captures the population dynamic as the Theory’s credibility wanes.

There is a reference to a Thermodynamic model and use of entropy, which I don’t personally like (Where I have implied that there is an alternate view, in the first sentence, with regard to Homeostasis and equilibrium). The reason is that this would imply Annealing and changes in the structure of the lattice. To me anyway, which also suggests how it gets to a Theory-in-use vs Espoused theory riddle – at this point in time. Also, it would take a lot of heat/energy to change the shape?

Supportive Evidence

The following fragments are primarily taken to support the aforementioned shift/collapse of the espoused theory/paradigm.

Reality – Theoretical Collapse

“…Chaos, incompetence and bullying of Home Office employees are resulting in failed deportations and the unlawful detention of vulnerable and desperate people, whistleblowers allege…

“Mistakes by overworked, under-skilled, bullied and highly stressed DCT caseworkers are directly and frequently leading to immigration detentions that are later proved to be unlawful,” claimed one source….

Whistleblowers also allege that:
– Decisions on whether an applicant can stay in the UK, supposed to take six months, frequently take two years. During this time, applicants are in limbo, unable to work or rent property.
– People who have sought asylum are frequently unlawfully detained for up to six weeks in immigration removal centres.
– Personal performance targets indirectly encourage employees to reject applications without fully examining whether people have the right to remain in the UK.
– People with a strong case to remain in the UK are deported because of poor decisions made by insufficiently trained staff.
– Flights for deportations are frequently cancelled when asylum seekers protest on board and pilots refuse to fly…”

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/apr/28/home-office-chaos-and-incompetence-leads-to-unlawful-detentions-claim-whistleblowers

Student Category compared to the Windrush Category

“…Campaigners representing students contesting the Home Office’s allegation of cheating say most of those affected have been made unwell by the prolonged strain of attempting to prove their innocence. Many have been pushed into destitution. The organisation Migrant Voice, which has worked with dozens of those affected, says many have contemplated or attempted suicide.
Mike Gapes, the MP for Ilford South, who has advised a number of affected people in his constituency, describes this as “a bigger scandal than Windrush in terms of the number of individuals removed from the country and whose livelihoods are being destroyed by anguish and despair”. The issue has its roots in the same period at the Home Office under May, when officials were developing the hostile environment, under pressure to reduce net migration to the tens of thousands and show voters that the government was taking firm steps to control illegal immigration…

Stephen Timms, the Labour MP for East Ham, is sceptical about these findings. “It think it’s nonsense. There is no way that 90% of those who sat the test were cheating. Do they really believe they were presiding over a system in which over 90% were cheating? It doesn’t make sense. It’s completely implausible…”

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2019/apr/23/toeic-english-test-sajid-javid-urged-to-act-in-immigration-scandal-bigger-than-windrush

Of Reform – Opinion

“…Since Windrush, all we have seen is pathetic attempts at compensating victims, and more scandals. Presiding over it all is the new benevolent dictator Sajid Javid, who speaks in the language of a man who knows how to pay lip service to the forces that removed his predecessor, while doubling down on policies that have not changed, but are merely fronted by a new, more media-friendly face. One that does not hesitate to point out – as often as possible – that it is a brown one.
What will it take for wholesale reform? What will it take for the Conservative party to understand that its combination of anti-immigration extremism and incompetence is cruel but also bad for the economy, the NHS and the higher education system?…”

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/apr/30/home-office-tory-policy-ruin-scandal-british-economy

Of Law

“…The laws are badly drafted and confusing, barristers told the body that advises the government on legal reforms.
They said that overly complicated rules were a factor in the Windrush case that increased the risk of people with the right to remain in Britain being incorrectly detained or removed.
In its report “Handling of the Windrush situation”, the National Audit Office identified the fact that “individuals found the immigration systems and the rules governing different immigration statuses complex and confusing” as a factor that increased the risk of injustice.
The council said: “Piecemeal, confusingly structured and poorly drafted additions to the…

The Times – Impenetrable immigration rules will cause new Windrush scandal

Of Rights

“…The injustices of our current immigration system are at the centre of struggles against economic injustice, against racism and to uphold the basic system of rights that have been won in this country….

When the story is told of how human rights were stripped from British citizens, it will begin by documenting the steady exclusion and dehumanisation of asylum seekers, refugees and migrants.

https://rightsinfo.org/migrants-organise-the-struggle-for-a-just-immigration-system-is-everybodys-fight/

Of Discrimination

“…A cross-party group of MPs has referred the Home Office to the UK’s equalities watchdog as they warned that “nothing has changed” since the Windrush scandal erupted last year.

In a letter coordinated by Labour MP David Lammy, the group urges the Equality and Human Rights Commission to launch a probe into whether the department’s “deeply discriminatory” immigration policies amount to institutional racism.
The move comes more than a year after the Windrush scandal, which saw longstanding British residents from Commonwealh countries lose access to public services and face deportation, first hit the headlines….


Mr Lammy, chairman of the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Race, told The Guardian: “The gross mishandling and abuse of the Windrush generation by the Home Office raises serious questions over whether British citizens were discriminated against on the basis of their race and ethnicity, in breach of equalities legislation.
“More than a year after I first raised this in parliament, nothing has changed. Justice must mean not only due compensation and reparation, but changes to the institution and immigration laws that created this crisis.
“This is why we are calling on the EHRC to investigate the Home Office and, in particular, the hostile environment legislation, which appears to have led to discriminatory treatment against ethnic minority British citizens.”
The letter, signed by 87 MPs, accuses the Home Office of unlawful discrimination against Windrush victims…”

Written by: Matt Foster – MPs warn ‘nothing has changed’ since Windrush as they refer Home Office to equalities watchdog
Posted On: 1st May 2019

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